Naimisha Forest
How Not to Argue about Cause and Effect
“If you spend a little time with CDC’s interactive maps, the conclusion seems blindingly obvious: measures taken by the states to “fight” the Wuhan virus, something that was never deemed possible before last year, imposed enormous costs but have made little or no difference in the end. The smart states were the ones . . .
Some COVID entrepreneurs
“The roll-up-your-sleeves, can-do, American spirit is not dead yet!” I thought when I read
that “New businesses in the United States surged during the pandemic.” The study by Simeon Djankov and Eva Yiwen Zhang at the Petersen Institute notes that new business applications in the US shot up by some 40% during . . .
Posted in: crimelaw-and-ordermacroeconomicspandemicsusa
Fauci Classes Worried: The Times Fails to Find a "Thanksgiving Effect"
Sunday's New York Times declares, "As Christmas Nears, Virus Experts Look for Lessons from Thanksgiving."
Trained Times readers will spot the dodge instantly: if the "virus experts" are still "looking," then they haven't yet found evidence for their warnings that Thanksgiving would cause a terrifying spike in COVID. You grasp that . . .
Rational Choice for Christmas
American media recently brimmed with venomous headlines cursing disobedient Americans who met their loved ones for Thanksgiving despite the CDC’s 
COVID warnings. “As Americans prepare to gather for Thanksgiving, the world watches with dread and disbelief,” said the Washington Post in a revealing specimen of . . .
Focused Protection
Eminent professors of epidemiology - Sunetra Gupta (Oxford), Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford), and Martin Kulldorff (Harvard) - have issued a declaration that condemns indefinite 'lockdowns' and calls for a return to a standard 'Public Health 101' approach to COVID-19, which they call 'Focused Protection.'
. . .
Posted in: pandemics
Update on "Law and Order Minorities"
Every so often, Rasmussen breaks out details from its daily tracking poll to show 
Trump’s “Job Approval” among different ethnic groups. The company’s September 21 poll shows Trump’s national approval at 51%, with 53% among Whites, 39% among Blacks, and 51% for “Other Minorities” (a catch-all group led . . .
The Mystery of the Lockdowns
In “How many lives would a more normal president have saved?” New York Times columnist Ross Douthat wonders how many Americans died because of President Trump’s “abnormal” reluctance to embrace stricter lockdown measures. Douthat’s speculations never get close to the likely correct answer, though, which is . . .
Cover image credit: http://Pinterest
