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How Not to Argue about Cause and Effect

“If you spend a little time with CDC’s interactive maps, the conclusion seems blindingly obvious: measures taken by the states to “fight” the Wuhan virus, something that was never deemed possible before last year, imposed enormous costs but have made little or no difference in the end. The smart states were the ones . . .

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May 29, 2021

Some COVID entrepreneurs

“The roll-up-your-sleeves, can-do, American spirit is not dead yet!” I thought when I readSilvrback blog image that “New businesses in the United States surged during the pandemic.”  The study by Simeon Djankov and Eva Yiwen Zhang at the Petersen Institute notes that new business applications in the US shot up by some 40% during . . .

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May 26, 2021

Fauci Classes Worried: The Times Fails to Find a "Thanksgiving Effect"

Sunday's New York Times declares, "As Christmas Nears, Virus Experts Look for Lessons from Thanksgiving."

Trained Times readers will spot the dodge instantly:  if the "virus experts" are still "looking," then they haven't yet found evidence for their warnings that Thanksgiving would cause a terrifying spike in COVID. You grasp that . . .

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December 24, 2020

Rational Choice for Christmas

 American media recently brimmed with venomous headlines cursing disobedient Americans who met their loved ones for Thanksgiving despite the CDC’s Silvrback blog imageCOVID warnings.  “As Americans prepare to gather for Thanksgiving, the world watches with dread and disbelief,”  said the Washington Post in a revealing specimen of . . .

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December 08, 2020

Focused Protection

Eminent professors of epidemiology - Sunetra Gupta (Oxford), Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford), and Martin Kulldorff (Harvard) - have issued a declaration that condemns  indefinite 'lockdowns' and calls for a return to a standard 'Public Health 101' approach to COVID-19, which they call 'Focused Protection.'

 

 

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Posted in: pandemics

October 05, 2020

Update on "Law and Order Minorities"

Every so often, Rasmussen breaks out details from its daily tracking poll to show Silvrback blog imageTrump’s “Job Approval” among different ethnic groups. The company’s September 21 poll shows Trump’s national approval at 51%, with 53% among Whites, 39% among Blacks, and 51% for “Other Minorities” (a catch-all group led . . .

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September 22, 2020

The Mystery of the Lockdowns

Silvrback blog imageIn “How many lives would a more normal president have saved?” New York Times columnist Ross Douthat wonders how many Americans died because of President Trump’s “abnormal” reluctance to embrace stricter lockdown measures. Douthat’s speculations never get close to the likely correct answer, though, which is . . .

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September 12, 2020

Archive

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